Alvin W. Graylin May 13, 2025
Digital Fellow, Stanford Digital Economy Lab |
Author, Our Next Reality | Chairman, Virtual World Society
A New World Is Unfolding But Are We Ready For It?
We stand at the precipice of the greatest transformation in human history, but our instincts are betraying us. For millennia, scarcity shaped our brains, institutions, and conflicts. We hoarded, conquered, and structured societies around lack because survival demanded it. Yet today, as the compounding nature of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), robotics, synthetic biology and clean energy will soon converge to help realize the utopian worlds of sci-fi stories, we still cling to systems and mindsets designed for the world of the past. These new technologies are not just upgrading industries as before, they will be disrupting the very foundations of labor, economy, education, governance, and even what it means to be human.
The scarcity mindset has served us well the last ten thousand years or so as we advanced from hunter gatherer and pastoral cultures to agricultural and industrial civilizations, while growing our population 1000-fold. We became the clear apex species on this planet because of our intelligence, cooperative nature, and adaptability. But what happens when scarcity is no longer the limiting factor? Can we act as responsible stewards for the superpowers we will soon be gifted? How should we rethink our role in this ecosystem, the institutions that have governed us and our relationship with each other? Will we be able to adapt fast enough and thrive, or will we let the inertia and institutional lag trigger uncontrolled chaos? We need to answer and agree as a species on these questions this decade. If we choose correctly and are aligned, we can bring on millennia of prosperity and flourishing to everyone on the planet. If we maintain our current path, there may not even be a livable world left for our children. That choice is in our hands!
“I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought,
but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”
Albert Einstein
Technology alone cannot save us. We need a new philosophy, one that takes an era of abundance seriously. One that aligns our systems with the true potential of exponential technologies for global benefit, while centering on the dignity, cohesion, and shared well-being of all peoples at its core.
That philosophy is Abundanism.
What Is Abundanism?
Abundanism is a post-scarcity framework that reimagines civilization in the context of superabundant capabilities made possible by AGI, robotics, energy innovation, biotech, and XR (extended reality). I first introduced this term in my book, Our Next Reality (Hachette, March 2024). But as the pace of technological advancement accelerates, largely driven by AI, a new model of thinking is more needed now than ever. Most leading AI researchers expect that AGI will arrive within this decade and ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) will come soon after. AGI is defined as the ability for machine intelligence to complete most human level cognitive work without intervention, and ASI is intelligence beyond that of all of humanity combined. When AGI is embodied in modern robotic forms, most manual labor can be automated as well. These machines will be able to operate nearly 24/7 for just the cost of electricity. This effectively takes societal productivity towards infinity and that’s only the starting point, as such systems can self-improve over time (just as we have). We will soon be able to solve most major issues that have been plaguing our world for ages. We will live longer and healthier, have access to near limitless energy, eliminate hunger, stabilize the climate and provide everyone on the planet with a life of near-abundance. If we properly leverage these breakthroughs, the core reason of resource acquisition that has driven most wars and conflicts throughout history may disappear.
Abundanism is not techno-utopianism, nor a warmed-over version of socialism or capitalism. It is a pragmatic, future-facing operating system that acknowledges:
• Scarcity is no longer a necessity — it’s a design choice.
• Work is no longer the source of value — dignity is.
• Power doesn’t need to be hoarded — it can and must be shared widely.
Abundanism offers a structured vision for how we govern, educate, care for, and engage each other in a world where material limits no longer define opportunity — but cooperation, trust, and purpose do. Although the unending pursuit for resources and meaningless labor may soon disappear, the essence of what makes us human will continue. We will be liberated to refocus on our family and social relationships. We will regain the time to learn and grow our understanding of the universe in more diverse and deeper ways than ever before. We could see a modern Renaissance in art and culture on a global basis. In the past, periods of rapid progress and discovery were made possible by support of rich patrons. Today, AI and automation can take on that role, allowing us to release our inner genius.
Usually when someone hears the above, they will immediately say, "Yeah, that sounds nice but what you are talking about is just not possible! Competition and hierarchy are in our genes, it's human nature to dominate over others." But is it?
Before I expand on Abundanism, I'd like to share a little story. A tale of two monkeys...well more accurately, two apes.
The Bonobo Lesson: We Become What We Adapt To
To understand the significance of this moment, we must look back.
Humans share over 98.5% of our DNA with both chimpanzees and bonobos, our closest evolutionary relatives. We diverged from their common ancestor around 6–7 million years ago. Then, about 2 million years ago, chimps and bonobos themselves split from each other. Many people have heard that chimps are quite hierarchical. Their troops are led by an alpha male, exhibit violent tendencies and “war” between groups for territory is common. Some may also know that the bonobo culture is very different. Bonobo communities have a peaceful egalitarian model, led by a matriarch, highly social, and tend to resolve conflicts with sex. Why do these two apes who evolved from the same ancestor in the same region have such different lifestyles?
The answer is surprisingly simple yet informative. About 2 million years ago, the formation of the Congo River permanently separated these two apes (neither species can swim).
• Chimpanzees, living in harsher, resource-scarce environments, developed hierarchical, aggressive, and dominance-based societies. Power is earned through force, alliances, and exclusion.
• Bonobos, thriving in a more abundant, fertile environment south of the river, evolved a culture centered on cooperation, social bonding, and peaceful conflict resolution.
Each ape adapted to the pressures of its environment. So did we!
For most of human history (95% of the last 200k years), during the hunter gatherer and pastoral periods, humans lived in small egalitarian tribes where most members of the tribes did the same work, ate the same food and lived in the same shelters. Over the last ten thousand years, the rise of agriculture forced those groups practicing it to stay in a fixed location, form more complex social structures, and be exposed to the seasonal nature of food crops. We essentially created an artificial scarcity for ourselves by expanding and concentrating the population and growing the overall demand which often exceeded the food supply, and constrained our habitat. Larger groups naturally demanded more hierarchy for governance. Thus, this man-made scarcity has shaped our behaviors — competition for resources, the use of force, accumulation of power. These instincts are still embedded in our politics, institutions, economies, and technologies. But they are not in our genes (genetic adaptations often take millions of years to lock in), and they are not necessarily in our psychological nature. In fact, even in the 20th century, there were still small primitive hunter gatherer tribes in the world that continued to practice the egalitarian lifestyle of our ancestors.
But here’s the twist: we now have the power to shape our environment, not the other way around. And with the myriads of new technologies coming our way, it will be increasingly so. We are no longer passive participants in evolution. We are architects of the conditions that shape our minds, cultures, and futures. If we continue to build systems optimized for scarcity, we will perpetuate chimpanzee-like conflict and mindset of dominance. But if we intentionally design for the coming abundance and focus on shared flourishing — we can unlock the bonobo mindset that lies within all of us. It may also be useful to mention that the Western Chimps are much more docile compared to their aggressive Central and Eastern brothers, likely due the western region having very similar environmental traits to the bonobo habitat.
How Socio-Economic Models Have Evolved?
Throughout history, societies globally have developed through multiple socio-economic models, each bringing increased productivity and scale of impact by applying new technologies and forms of labor. (See Fig. 1) Over the last two thousand years after the invention of agrarian societies, it’s estimated we’ve become approximately 10,000X more productive, and most of that has happened over the last 200 years. In each phase we’ve had some form of resource scarcity, and that resource has been the core to value creation and a key source of human conflict.
“Technology is the force that coverts Scarcity into Abundance over and over again.”
Peter Diamandis
During the early periods in our development as a species, we only had single digit millions of us on this planet, and relatively, we lived in an abundant world. We “worked” a few hours a day to gather the food and resources we needed, and spent most of our days on social pursuits (conversations, family, dance, music, crafts, art). During that period, our only real constrained resource was time. In a post-AGI world where food, education, goods, energy etc. will be abundant, once again, time may be our only constrained resource. It’s not unrealistic we could adjust and adapt our society to a more egalitarian model once again as we will soon no longer have the key driver for the conflicts that plagued our world. We can then refocus on what makes us human, and reduce the pursuit of ever-increasing productivity and personal profit. Erik Brynjolfsson introduced the concept of the GDP-B (Gross Domestic Product - Benefits) to represent the non-monetary benefits accrued to society from technologies. We should probably expand that definition to include non-monetary benefits from humans as well (i.e., child rearing, elderly care, spiritual guidance or ecological maintenance). In time, as most current production is automated, this aggregated GDP-B may become the largest part of the post-AGI economy.
AI and machines can offer us massive productivity gains near term, but long-term we will also be able to hand-off the role of scientific discovery in areas where we are unfortunately biologically constrained. Societal progress will continue, but we will likely take on more the role of the proud parent versus being the main actor in the next chapter of this ever-unfolding story.
Figure 1: Major historical socio-economic models and associated resource constraints
Why Traditional Frameworks Are Becoming Obsolete
Most modern ideological frameworks are artifacts of the scarcity era. They served their historical purposes — but no longer map to the world we are entering. Let’s examine six prevalent models today and why they no longer align with a post-scarcity world. (See summary chart in Fig. 2)
Capitalism
Designed for allocating scarce goods efficiently. During the last few hundred years, it’s served its purpose well and brought amazing economic and scientific progress. But in a world where marginal costs will soon trend toward zero (for energy, computation, even matter), prices will no longer reflect true value or need. Capitalism also incentivizes hoarding, stratification, short-termism, and monopoly. The capitalistic drive towards ever expanding profits will leave large swaths of the population valueless and hopeless. It’s also important to highlight that capitalism works well in optimizing distribution of positive-value goods, but does a very poor job when tasked with solving supply for negative-value goods, like pollution, hazardous waste or malware/spam. In the long term, a model based on hoarding of resource and ceaseless pursuit of growth is not sustainable nor ethical. In biology, cells that behave in this way are called cancer.
Socialism
Rooted in the labor theory of value and centralized distribution. As AI and robotics takes on most forms of labor, the traditional definition of value of labor becomes meaningless. It presumes scarcity and requires planning tools ill-suited to the complexity and adaptability of modern systems. It risks bureaucratic stagnation in the face of exponential change. China’s market socialism model has brought unquestionable economic success for decades, but with the reality that’s coming our way, even China will need to evolve its current systems. Socialism is based on an innate class struggle between the haves and have nots, but if the Abundanist future prevails, those class differences could disappear altogether. Even Marx saw Socialism as a transitory economic system towards a long-term successor model.
Doomerism
Is focused on slowing or stopping advanced AI development based on the fear of a misaligned or uncontrollable AI system taking over the world and destroying humans or all life on Earth (also known as existential risk or AI x-risk). It’s certainly important to be aware of and get ahead of such potential risks, but we also must admit that historically new technologies have continuously brought benefits to humans and our quality of life. It's also undeniable that new technologies can be catastrophically misused by bad actors, where the bigger risks probably lie, and where regulations can help. There’s currently no clear scientific evidence that advanced AI will be innately malicious towards humans and much of the fear seems to stem from fictional scenarios often drawing upon sci-fi storylines or elaborate thought experiments. More AI safety research and bad actor mitigation investigations are clearly needed, and both would benefit from a global concerted effort versus the current unfettered national AI race we are in today.
Accelerationism
Technology has clearly brought net positives to the world, but whether we achieve AGI/ASI in 2 years, 5 years or 10 years won’t change the long-term trajectory of our species, as long as it’s created and deployed in a safe, responsible and fair way. The physical world and our society need sufficient time to peacefully adapt to the associated massive disruptions in all areas of our lives. And many in the safety community would argue going at a more controlled pace will reduce chances of an inadvertent runway AI. A blind pursuit of speed of innovation lacks ethical grounding or concern for human consequences. Risking an all-out “arms race to collapse” which unnecessarily escalates conflict that could either accentuate inequality or lead to another global kinetic conflict we may not be able to recover from.
Web3 Libertarianism
Advocates decentralization but often recreates power asymmetries through token hoarding for insider networks. Creating artificial scarcity for the purpose of speculation and profit of the few is not decentralization, it’s re-centralization. It lacks a cohesive ethic of dignity and inclusion, making its current form unsustainable and unfair. Blockchain technology can play a role in the future of defining value, not necessarily in the form of cryptocurrencies, but perhaps as a trusted identity system or scoring model for social good.
Eco-Minimalism
Rightly critiques our overconsumption, often propose limitation as a virtue. Abundanism agrees we must be stewards of the planet but believes technology can decouple growth from harm if deployed wisely and shared broadly. New breakthroughs in clean energy technologies enabled by human ingenuity and AGI augmentation could provide the much-needed answers. They could allow us to reverse the environmental damage we have collectively unleashed on the planet. We could finally reduce the burden on the ecosystem, allowing the planet to heal itself without sacrificing our modern conveniences.
Figure 2: Comparison Chart of Modern Philosophical Frameworks across the human value and resource condition dimensions
Abundance Is All You Need
Abundanism is not just another ideology — it’s a response to a new material and technological reality. It offers solutions that fit the unprecedented capabilities which lay before us.
1. Governance with AI as a Partner
AGI can model planetary systems, simulate policy outcomes, and help optimize for equity, sustainability, and well-being. Abundanism embraces AI as a governance oracle and co-pilot, complementing human values with superhuman foresight and global understanding. We’ve all heard Lord Acton’s quote, “Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.” This may be one of most important human flaws that AI won’t inherit from us given its lack of human emotions and genetic predispositions. This would allow it to infuse more rationality and diverse perspectives to human decision even at the most difficult times. It could help find solutions to age old conflicts that have alluded us or we were blinded by our biases to see. Over time AGI/ASI could truly unite all peoples in harmony, if we will only let it.
2. Post-Monetary Value Systems
Money will eventually lose its current meaning when production costs fall to near zero, and supply of goods/services becomes near infinite. The construct of money currently serves three key functions: medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account. In an abundant world where we have free access to almost anything we can imagine, these functions will mostly be unnecessary. However, it may be replaced with a new value system based on resources that would remain scarce or can’t be automated, time, personal service and social status. Abundanist mindset would suggest the arrival of new mechanisms (i.e., time-based entitlements, social contributions, ecological impact) that value people by their existence, not their economic output, as discussed in the concept of GDP-B above. Such shifts are possible, as when we moved from gold to fiat.
There will be a lengthy transitionary period for this to happen, and paradoxically, money will increase in value during the early stage of this transition but lose most its value as full Abundanism is achieved. Why? Because in the early transition, money can allow greater access to the temporarily scarce resources that will enable AGI. Early access to AGI will be perceived near term as bringing a significant increase in relative power, which many will pay a premium for. But it’s a trap! The only way to cross the temptation chasm and enable a full transition is by our leaders foregoing transient gains in favor of a greater long-term reward.
3. Universal Basic Income/Infrastructure
With machines handling most production and AI handling most cognitive work, UBI becomes a moral imperative and economic inevitability. UBI is a necessity to enable a smooth and orderly transition from a pre to post-scarcity society. It decouples dignity from labor, enabling freedom, education, and creative contribution. In fact, UBI should extend beyond just Income but to a full social support Infrastructure, including healthcare, education, food and housing. Many people believe UBI is being paid to do nothing. The reality is that properly designed UBI is paying people to do what they love. Distribution must be unconditional. When humans don’t have to worry about survival, their compassion, creativity and curiosity will be unleashed.
4. XR and Purpose Engineering
In a world where basic needs are met, eXtended Reality (XR) and immersive technologies will become essential as emotional and civic infrastructure — enabling exploration, creative expression, learning, and meaningful engagement providing an outlet for our energy, a sense of purpose we all seek and access to a broader community we all need. Humans are social beings that are designed to gain satisfaction from novel discovery, the ability to express ourselves, contribute to society, and have deep need for a sense of belonging. A global interconnected metaverse infrastructure (a collection of open interoperable virtual and augmented worlds) could be just what is needed to deliver on multiple fronts while ensuring mental/emotional health and social connection for the global population. We must also put in safeguards to limit the escapist scenarios some may fear.
5. Supply and Demand 2.0
Intelligent systems can dynamically match human needs to available capacity — without prices as the mediating mechanism. Production becomes anticipatory and ethical, not just profitable. We can thus avoid the boom-and-bust cycles of the current economy. Also with full automation, reshoring manufacturing of most goods can be possible. So, we can avoid the national security fears of over-dependency many policy makers have about globalization.
There’s another fear that humans have an insatiable appetite for goods and services, so a system without prices could never work. The reality is that humans (most life in general) have a marginal utility function for all goods. Our first coffee of the day may be a pleasure, but our fifteenth will become a burden. This is true for all things we desire. When we achieve nearly free energy, the world has more than enough resources to satisfy all our physical needs. Just solving energy alone, could solve most social and equity issues around globally. There are no high-energy consumption countries that are poor and no wealthy nations with low-energy consumption.
Eight billion people sounds like a big number but if we put the mass of all humans on the planet today into a cube, it would be just 800 meters on all sides. That’s a cube of under ½ of one mile! Doesn’t seem so big now. The Earth alone is 1013 times more massive, not to mentioned the resources that are available in the rest of the solar system, galaxy or universe. With the help of AGI, all those resources could one day be within reach to our descendants.
6. Education as a Peace Technology
Abundanism envisions a universally well-educated global population, empowered by personalized AI tutors and immersive learning. Education is the most important gift we give to the next generation. Having a well-educated populous co-habiting an abundant society will reduce fear, foster understanding, build trust across cultures and ultimately eliminate most conflicts. We can finally turn our pursuits towards intellectual, cultural and spiritual enlightenment vs. simple material fulfillment.
We need to rethink our institutions for the future, but more importantly, we need to adjust our internal mindset where social harmony and universal compassion is the core objective, not personal gain or competition. Only then can true societal abundance be achieved.
Better Angels Or Darker Devils?
On March 4, 1861, Abraham Lincoln at his inaugural address appealed for Americans to call upon “the better angels of our nature” in an effort to reunite the nation and prevent the Civil War. He believed that men are innately good with the capacity for compassion, reason and reconciliation. Unfortunately, he failed with this poetic effort. So, are we innately good or bad? The real answer is it depends. And for the most part, it depends on the environment we are in. Biologically speaking, our brains reward pro-social behavior. Infants and young children exhibit unprompted behavior of sharing and kindness. And in psychological experiments, adults show a clear sense of justice demonstrating a willingness to lose personal value to punish unfair actions. We have succeeded as a species in harshest environments largely due to our social nature and ability to cooperate in groups. Written in our genes (and that of most living beings) is the drive to survive, protect our progeny/kin and thrive in our social groups.
When resources are scarce, this drive kicks in. We will use whatever means we have to achieve this end. When resources are plentiful, the desire to maintain social harmony and follow group norms will dominate. Studies show that higher income populations tend to exhibit more volunteering and philanthropic efforts. We will soon have the means to create the environment where our better angels can be unleashed for all, and our focus can move from resource acquisition to the non-material betterment of ourselves and others.
The Moment Of Responsibility
“The real problem of humanity is the following: We have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions, and god-like technology.”
E.O. Wilson
For the first time in human history, we have the luxury and the responsibility to consciously redesign our institutions to fit our capabilities and values. We are no longer bound by geography, hunger, or the randomness of evolution. We can choose the future we want — if we act in time. How we behave as a species in the next five to ten years could be the most consequential thing we have ever done! And your actions could help decide which path our civilization takes.
This is our one-shot civilization-level moment.
We are lucky beyond measure to be alive at a time when the material conditions for a dignified, abundant life for all are not only possible, they are within reach. But without a shift in mindset, without a philosophy that aligns with our new reality — we risk turning abundance into chaos. The current default path we are on is not headed to a happy ending.
Abundance Diplomacy and Avoiding Mutual Destruction
Why the Urgency Now?
The key period is from now until the end of the decade. It’s critical we put in place policies and systems ASAP to enable a smooth and orderly transition to a post-AGI world. The entrenched competition and dominance mindset of Great Power Politics which pervades major power centers today is preventing even the beginnings of discussions for a peaceful resolution. There is a very dangerous myth amongst political leaders that the U.S. is clearly ahead and by increasing technology restrictions, that lead can only grow. There’s another misunderstanding that the AI race can be won, which can provide the U.S. a permanent position of dominance over the world. The reality is neither are true and the resulting strategy from these two myths is taking us down a dark path. If the proper geopolitical/security safeguards and social safety nets are not set up and deployed in time, there will inevitably be military, economic and societal chaos. All are avoidable. Current national policies are driving us towards escalating tension, likely inducing a self-fulfilling prophecy of kinetic conflict.
The Real Security Risk
Everyone is focused on national adversaries when the most likely threat to our world lies elsewhere. The very real security risks from rogue actors and potential safety risks from runaway AI could both be dramatically reduced if there’s transparency and collaboration between global powers. The sooner the they work together by sharing needed resources and intelligence, the faster we can achieve a safe advanced AI, and the more likely we are to detect and mitigate rogue attacks before they occur. It’s imperative if we don’t continue to pursue a bifurcated AI ecosystem, as that divided path will lead to creation of superintelligent weapons that are tasked with wiping out the other side, and likely ones we won’t have full control over.
The Path Forward for U.S. and China
The U.S. and China needs to put away their AI Arms Race and recognize there is a bigger common goal to build transformative AI systems that can make wars and national competition moot. If we are successful in realizing a truly abundant society, why would anyone want to send their children around the world to kill other people’s children anymore. We need to unite our focus on our common societal problems of looming mass job displacement, bad actor security risks and potential runaway AI. A CERN for AI joint global project could be a path that would benefit all. By sharing our limited resources in compute, data and brain power, we have a much better chance to create a safe AGI that truly considers all global perspectives.
The economic power of these two great nations can also provide sufficient scale to initiate an UBI transition plan that can be executed. The U.S. funded the Marshall Plan post World War II to enable Western Europe to speed recovery from war-time devastation. This time around, the two great global powers of today and all developed nations must unite to create and fund a peaceful post-AGI transitionary plan to preemptively prevent a potential global collapse. We can’t afford to continue the current contentious path we are on. The alternative of not cooperating is expediting current global conflict with the potential to wipe out humanity, just as we are arriving at the door steps of utopia. That would be one of the most tragic scenarios imaginable.
Undoubtedly there are major trust issues between the U.S. and China today. But when it is so clear that cooperation can result in a giant win-win outcome, while competition is a guaranteed eternal lose-lose for all parties, the motivation to do the right thing should be self-evident. For both parties, starting from a position of trust is the only path forward. In the classical Prisoner’s Dilemma game, the optimal strategy of a single-turn game is to always defect on your partner, but in a multi-turn game (akin to the real world) it is tit-for-tat and starting with trust. This strategy will allow both sides to gain the maximum benefit and naturally pushes them to cooperate. It’s the unnatural move for most leaders right now…but it’s essential we make this adjustment in our mindset soon while we still have time.
“All the forces in the world are not so powerful as an idea whose time has come.”
Victor Hugo
Conclusion: The Framework for the Age of Superabundance
Abundanism isn’t a dream. It is a practical philosophy for organizing post-AGI civilization:
• One where wisdom is core to governance, not greed
• Where we build bridges across cultures, not walls
• Where value is tied to life and service, not output
• Where our institutions scale beyond our needs, not just serve the elite
• Where global social safety nets provide dignity, not handouts
• Where we educate for understanding and purpose, not just productivity
We must transcend the current prevailing mindset focused on dominance and zero-sum thinking that has been ingrained over centuries.
Existing frameworks have served us well when scarcity defined the human condition. Soon, that condition will be inexorably altered. The question will no longer be if abundance is possible. It will be, can we rise to the occasion? Most religions around the world depict the concept of a land or realm of abundance. Soon, this doesn’t have to be an idea for the afterlife. Let’s not self-sabotage this opportunity when it’s within reach on Earth.
“You don’t go to heaven when you die
…you go there when you’re born.”
Jim Lovell, Apollo Astronaut
Prior industrial revolutions took four to eight decades to fully play out. The AI revolution will unfold in under a decade, and our current institutions are not designed to adapt at that pace. We need to act now to ensure a crisis-free transition! Our children are depending on us.
Let’s take the responsibility of our coming superpowers seriously!
Let’s share the benefits they bring globally!
Let’s choose Abundanism. Before we can change the world, we must first change our mindset.
Welcome to the Abundanist community. Let’s make tomorrow better than today!
I know some of you will think I’m naïve or idealistic, and maybe I am. But I’ve studied and operated in the AI, semiconductor, XR and cybersecurity space for over three decades in multiple nations, and have thought about these issues with open eyes. I know the changes I’m asking for won’t come easy, but I also know the alternative of not trying could be dire.
Please share this document with those whom you believe can benefit from a new lens on the world. We still have time to make a difference in bending the trajectory of our future towards the light. Every small action can be the flap of the butterfly wing which forms the winds of change.
Note: Interested readers can find more details, clarifications and examples of real-world application of Abundanism in “Our Next Reality”.
Next Steps
Some reviewers have asked me to provide a specific post-AGI action list or policy recommendations in this paper, but to keep its length in control, I plan to publish that separately. I would welcome your feedback both on the content of this document, but also on suggested topics for future writing. Feel free to find me on Substack (@awgraylin) and we can discuss related topics in a timelier basis there.
Special Thanks
I’d like to express my sincere thanks for all who provided comments, feedback and suggestions on the early drafts of this document. Your words have helped increase the clarity and quality of this paper immensely. Any errors that may still exist are completely my responsibility.
Peter Diamandis, Erik Brynjolfsson, Tom Furness, Pattie Maes, Alex Sandy Pentland, John Werner, Rus Gant, Gary Rieschel, Paul Triolo, John Henry, Chas Freeman, Cyrus Jensen, Davey B, Louis Rosenberg, Brian A. Wong, Shaun Rein, Peggy Liu, Ken Zolot, Nathan Land, Ben Hu, Tim Chen, Linda Ricci, Peter Xing, Henry Lin, John Cheng, Aware Jones, Antony Vitillo, Risto Uuk, David Nguyen, Max Kanwell, Doug Hohulin, Andrew Holm, Zeljka Sotra, Hendrik Esser, Trond Nielsen, Laura Kusumoto, Man Wang
Hi Alvin,
Sorry for the delay with my feedback. The expanded length worked well, providing more depth and substance to your arguments around post-scarcity philosophy.
However, there is a BUT! It still comes across to me as far too generic. What would significantly strengthen your piece are concrete, real-world examples that demonstrate both the effectiveness and limitations of your propositions. These examples would help readers bridge the conceptual gap between theory and practical implementation. Without the real world examples, I feel a lack of validation. Here are my suggestions -
1. For your governance with AI as partner section: Include specific case studies where AI-assisted governance has already shown promise, perhaps in urban planning or resource management.
2. When discussing post-monetary value systems: Provide examples of communities or organizations that have successfully implemented alternative value metrics beyond traditional economic output.
3. Regarding Universal Basic Income: Reference pilot programs that have already been conducted, their measurable outcomes, and what they suggest about larger-scale implementation.
The conclusion, while inspiring, would benefit from a more pragmatic framing that outlines tangible results if Abundanism principles were adopted. Rather than solely presenting an idealistic vision, consider:
* Quantifiable projections of how specific Abundanism policies might impact economic inequality, environmental sustainability, or mental well-being
* A phased roadmap showing how we might transition from current systems to Abundanist frameworks
* Potential challenges and resistance points that would need to be addressed during implementation
If you want to drive meaningful change, showing readers the concrete outcomes of adopting these principles will be far more compelling than theoretical arguments alone. Grounding your vision in reality through evidence-based examples will make your case more persuasive to skeptics and provide actionable insights for advocates.
I look forward to your future work on this important topic, particularly the action list and policy recommendations you mentioned for a follow-up piece.
Regards,
Davey
This is a wonderful “check-in” that builds upon last year’s “Our Next Reality”, and it’s very refreshing to hear a case being made via a visionary framework, as opposed to an argumentative/oppositional framework. Alvin has the requisite knowledge and experience that lend authenticity, and urgency, to his perspectives and I’m sure that the roots of his optimism stretch back to the early days of the networked reality we now live in, at the University of Washington. I was there too, and I feel it – but as Alvin points out, time is running out. He thinks the next 5 years will be critical in shaping what our future looks like, and I have to agree. As an analogy, he leaves me thinking we’re now in the “Help” phase of the Beatles career without knowledge of what lies ahead, although in retrospect we know that everything was already in play. So, will “the next 5 years” result in an “Abbey Road”, or something else? It’s entirely up to us, and I’m now going to go have a listen to Help (the full album, not the “soundtrack”) and engage in a little reflection - followed by a lot of action!